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政治·主要

麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

麥可·米諾格 95.4%

布賴恩·肖特斯利夫 1.4%

Mike Kennealy <1%

Polymarket

$29,248 交易量

麥可·米諾格 95.4%

布賴恩·肖特斯利夫 1.4%

Mike Kennealy <1%

Polymarket

$29,248 交易量

icon for 麥可·米諾格

麥可·米諾格

$10,525 交易量

95%

icon for 布賴恩·肖特斯利夫

布賴恩·肖特斯利夫

$5,886 交易量

1%

icon for Mike Kennealy

Mike Kennealy

$12,837 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michael Minogue's commanding lead in the Massachusetts Republican primary stems primarily from securing the party endorsement at the state convention in April 2026, which consolidated support after Mike Kennealy withdrew and backed him. As a political newcomer with substantial personal resources and executive experience as former Abiomed CEO, Minogue has maintained broad backing among delegates and donors ahead of the September 1 primary. Brian Shortsleeve, a former MBTA official, and the limited remaining field have shown minimal traction in recent positioning. With probabilities exceeding 90 percent, the outcome remains sensitive to late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or health-related issues, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$29,248
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michael Minogue's commanding lead in the Massachusetts Republican primary stems primarily from securing the party endorsement at the state convention in April 2026, which consolidated support after Mike Kennealy withdrew and backed him. As a political newcomer with substantial personal resources and executive experience as former Abiomed CEO, Minogue has maintained broad backing among delegates and donors ahead of the September 1 primary. Brian Shortsleeve, a former MBTA official, and the limited remaining field have shown minimal traction in recent positioning. With probabilities exceeding 90 percent, the outcome remains sensitive to late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or health-related issues, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$29,248
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "麥可·米諾格" at 95%, followed by "布賴恩·肖特斯利夫" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $29.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "麥可·米諾格" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "布賴恩·肖特斯利夫" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "麻薩諸塞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.