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FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者

FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者

LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 83%

Michael Kirwan 14%

Brit Robinson 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 83%

Michael Kirwan 14%

Brit Robinson 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway

$3,787 交易量

83%

Michael Kirwan

$673 交易量

14%

Brit Robinson

$341 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda "L.J." Holloway holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida's 4th congressional district, reflecting her prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus established name recognition among party voters. A July poll showed her leading Michael Kirwan by roughly 30 points, underscoring her edge in a low-turnout primary contest. Kirwan has raised substantially more campaign funds as a Jacksonville attorney and former ethics commission chair, yet this has not translated into comparable support in recent polling or trader assessments. Brit Robinson and other entrants trail further behind, with limited visibility or organizational backing. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late shifts, though turnout patterns among Democratic voters in Clay, Nassau, and Duval counties could still influence the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,802
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda "L.J." Holloway holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida's 4th congressional district, reflecting her prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus established name recognition among party voters. A July poll showed her leading Michael Kirwan by roughly 30 points, underscoring her edge in a low-turnout primary contest. Kirwan has raised substantially more campaign funds as a Jacksonville attorney and former ethics commission chair, yet this has not translated into comparable support in recent polling or trader assessments. Brit Robinson and other entrants trail further behind, with limited visibility or organizational backing. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late shifts, though turnout patterns among Democratic voters in Clay, Nassau, and Duval counties could still influence the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,802
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway" at 83%, followed by "Michael Kirwan" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者" is "LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Kirwan" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-04民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.