LaShonda "L.J." Holloway holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida's 4th congressional district, reflecting her prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus established name recognition among party voters. A July poll showed her leading Michael Kirwan by roughly 30 points, underscoring her edge in a low-turnout primary contest. Kirwan has raised substantially more campaign funds as a Jacksonville attorney and former ethics commission chair, yet this has not translated into comparable support in recent polling or trader assessments. Brit Robinson and other entrants trail further behind, with limited visibility or organizational backing. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late shifts, though turnout patterns among Democratic voters in Clay, Nassau, and Duval counties could still influence the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 83%
Michael Kirwan 14%
Brit Robinson 1.6%
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway
83%
Michael Kirwan
14%
Brit Robinson
2%
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 83%
Michael Kirwan 14%
Brit Robinson 1.6%
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway
83%
Michael Kirwan
14%
Brit Robinson
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LaShonda "L.J." Holloway holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida's 4th congressional district, reflecting her prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus established name recognition among party voters. A July poll showed her leading Michael Kirwan by roughly 30 points, underscoring her edge in a low-turnout primary contest. Kirwan has raised substantially more campaign funds as a Jacksonville attorney and former ethics commission chair, yet this has not translated into comparable support in recent polling or trader assessments. Brit Robinson and other entrants trail further behind, with limited visibility or organizational backing. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late shifts, though turnout patterns among Democratic voters in Clay, Nassau, and Duval counties could still influence the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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