Skip to main content
icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

蘭迪·范恩 100.0%

Polymarket

$368,722 交易量

蘭迪·范恩 100.0%

Polymarket

$368,722 交易量

icon for 蘭迪·范恩

蘭迪·范恩

$42,459 交易量

100%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 6th Congressional District with a decisive primary victory on August 18, 2026, capturing 57.6 percent of the vote against challengers including Daniel Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. As the incumbent who assumed office in 2025 following a special election, Fine benefited from established party support, superior fundraising, and name recognition in a solidly Republican district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the completed vote count. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural reviews such as certification disputes or recounts, though historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries indicate such outcomes rarely alter certified results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$368,722
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: 是

爭議期已延長

最終

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 6th Congressional District with a decisive primary victory on August 18, 2026, capturing 57.6 percent of the vote against challengers including Daniel Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. As the incumbent who assumed office in 2025 following a special election, Fine benefited from established party support, superior fundraising, and name recognition in a solidly Republican district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the completed vote count. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural reviews such as certification disputes or recounts, though historical patterns in Florida congressional primaries indicate such outcomes rarely alter certified results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$368,722
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: 是

爭議期已延長

最終

相關

icon for Ryan Elijah會成為佛羅里達第七選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

Ryan Elijah會成為佛羅里達第七選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

100%
是
icon for 約翰·拉瑟福德會成為佛羅里達第5選區的共和黨候選人嗎？

約翰·拉瑟福德會成為佛羅里達第5選區的共和黨候選人嗎？

100%
是
icon for 奧斯汀·羅傑斯會成為佛羅里達第二選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

奧斯汀·羅傑斯會成為佛羅里達第二選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

100%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭迪·范恩" at 100%, followed by "Dan Bilzerian" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $368.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "蘭迪·范恩" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Bilzerian" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.