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選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 68%

Dan Bilzerian 23%

Charles Gambaro 6.2%

Aaron Baker 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

$14,576 交易量

Randy Fine 68%

Dan Bilzerian 23%

Charles Gambaro 6.2%

Aaron Baker 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

$14,576 交易量

Randy Fine

$1,008 交易量

68%

Dan Bilzerian

$2,021 交易量

23%

Charles Gambaro

$496 交易量

6%

Aaron Baker

$676 交易量

1%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$637 交易量

1%

Ernest Audino

$9,270 交易量

1%

Joshua Vasquez

$468 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability in Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage from the 2025 special election win, prior Trump endorsement, superior fundraising, and recent accomplishments like opening district offices across six counties and advancing bills through committee. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's high-profile filing last week—coupled with his America First rhetoric criticizing Fine's Israel stance—has propelled him to 22.5%, drawing buzz despite antisemitism allegations. Charles Gambaro holds 6% following former Volusia Sheriff Ben Johnson's endorsement this week, while others trail amid an early, fluid race ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,576
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability in Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage from the 2025 special election win, prior Trump endorsement, superior fundraising, and recent accomplishments like opening district offices across six counties and advancing bills through committee. Social media influencer Dan Bilzerian's high-profile filing last week—coupled with his America First rhetoric criticizing Fine's Israel stance—has propelled him to 22.5%, drawing buzz despite antisemitism allegations. Charles Gambaro holds 6% following former Volusia Sheriff Ben Johnson's endorsement this week, while others trail amid an early, fluid race ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,576
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Randy Fine" at 68%, followed by "Dan Bilzerian" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $14.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" is "Randy Fine" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Bilzerian" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.