Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克勞迪婭·特尼（共和黨）
93%
艾莉莎·艾爾曼（民主黨）
9%
$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克勞迪婭·特尼（共和黨）
$10,938 交易量
93%
艾莉莎·艾爾曼（民主黨）
$9,639 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$20,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETClaudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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