Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the New York 23rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and repeated Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Langworthy, unopposed in his June 2026 primary, benefits from strong name recognition after two terms, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the district's mix of rural Southern Tier counties and suburban areas that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination that month, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national economic downturn, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·蘭沃西（共和黨）
92%
Aaron Gies（民主黨）
9%
$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·蘭沃西（共和黨）
$11,093 交易量
92%
Aaron Gies（民主黨）
$13,378 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the New York 23rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and repeated Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Langworthy, unopposed in his June 2026 primary, benefits from strong name recognition after two terms, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the district's mix of rural Southern Tier counties and suburban areas that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination that month, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national economic downturn, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,471結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the New York 23rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and repeated Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Langworthy, unopposed in his June 2026 primary, benefits from strong name recognition after two terms, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the district's mix of rural Southern Tier counties and suburban areas that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination that month, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national economic downturn, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,471結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the New York 23rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and repeated Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Langworthy, unopposed in his June 2026 primary, benefits from strong name recognition after two terms, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, and the district's mix of rural Southern Tier counties and suburban areas that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Aaron Gies, who secured the Democratic nomination that month, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national economic downturn, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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