Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid D by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets, with recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Kennedy secured the seat in the 2024 special election and general election with over 65 percent of the vote, benefits from strong fundraising, and faced no primary opposition in June 2026. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, confronts structural barriers in this Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though such developments appear low-probability based on current evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,636 交易量
$26,636 交易量
2026-11-02
提姆·甘迺迪（民主黨）
95%
丹尼斯·漢儂（共和黨）
3%
$26,636 交易量
$26,636 交易量
2026-11-02
提姆·甘迺迪（民主黨）
$14,443 交易量
95%
丹尼斯·漢儂（共和黨）
$12,193 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid D by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets, with recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Kennedy secured the seat in the 2024 special election and general election with over 65 percent of the vote, benefits from strong fundraising, and faced no primary opposition in June 2026. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, confronts structural barriers in this Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though such developments appear low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,636結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid D by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets, with recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Kennedy secured the seat in the 2024 special election and general election with over 65 percent of the vote, benefits from strong fundraising, and faced no primary opposition in June 2026. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, confronts structural barriers in this Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though such developments appear low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,636結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, rated Solid D by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets, with recent presidential margins favoring Democrats by double digits. Kennedy secured the seat in the 2024 special election and general election with over 65 percent of the vote, benefits from strong fundraising, and faced no primary opposition in June 2026. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, confronts structural barriers in this Buffalo-Niagara Falls area district. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan swing, though such developments appear low-probability based on current evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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