**Republican nominee Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflected in Donald Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential cycles and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Gill, the incumbent, defeated his primary challenger by more than 80 points in March 2026, while Democrat Steven Shook emerged from a narrow primary. No competitive polling or late developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural advantages and historical base rates for similar districts, though midterm national conditions could still produce modest movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,093 交易量
$24,093 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
88%
民主黨
10%
$24,093 交易量
$24,093 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$16,171 交易量
88%
民主黨
$7,922 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflected in Donald Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential cycles and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Gill, the incumbent, defeated his primary challenger by more than 80 points in March 2026, while Democrat Steven Shook emerged from a narrow primary. No competitive polling or late developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural advantages and historical base rates for similar districts, though midterm national conditions could still produce modest movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,093結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflected in Donald Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential cycles and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Gill, the incumbent, defeated his primary challenger by more than 80 points in March 2026, while Democrat Steven Shook emerged from a narrow primary. No competitive polling or late developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural advantages and historical base rates for similar districts, though midterm national conditions could still produce modest movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,093結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflected in Donald Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential cycles and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Gill, the incumbent, defeated his primary challenger by more than 80 points in March 2026, while Democrat Steven Shook emerged from a narrow primary. No competitive polling or late developments have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these structural advantages and historical base rates for similar districts, though midterm national conditions could still produce modest movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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