Republican incumbent Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 93.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Goldman’s unopposed primary nomination establish a durable structural edge over Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, with no competitive polling or significant fundraising on the Democratic side. A national midterm environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle scandals, or sharply higher opposition turnout could narrow margins, though current indicators show limited movement toward those outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,961 交易量
$32,961 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$32,961 交易量
$32,961 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$16,602 交易量
94%
Democratic Party
$16,358 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 93.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Goldman’s unopposed primary nomination establish a durable structural edge over Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, with no competitive polling or significant fundraising on the Democratic side. A national midterm environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle scandals, or sharply higher opposition turnout could narrow margins, though current indicators show limited movement toward those outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,961結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 93.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Goldman’s unopposed primary nomination establish a durable structural edge over Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, with no competitive polling or significant fundraising on the Democratic side. A national midterm environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle scandals, or sharply higher opposition turnout could narrow margins, though current indicators show limited movement toward those outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,961結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRepublican incumbent Craig Goldman holds a commanding position in Texas’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 93.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Goldman’s unopposed primary nomination establish a durable structural edge over Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, with no competitive polling or significant fundraising on the Democratic side. A national midterm environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle scandals, or sharply higher opposition turnout could narrow margins, though current indicators show limited movement toward those outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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