Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida's 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's solidly Republican lean under the current map and his consistent prior performance. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing the long-serving representative to focus resources on the general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health issues for the incumbent, or shifts in national political conditions that boost Democratic turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$56,298 交易量
$56,298 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
91%
民主黨
9%
$56,298 交易量
$56,298 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$22,345 交易量
91%
民主黨
$33,954 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida's 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's solidly Republican lean under the current map and his consistent prior performance. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing the long-serving representative to focus resources on the general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health issues for the incumbent, or shifts in national political conditions that boost Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$56,298結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida's 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's solidly Republican lean under the current map and his consistent prior performance. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing the long-serving representative to focus resources on the general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health issues for the incumbent, or shifts in national political conditions that boost Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$56,298結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETIncumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida's 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's solidly Republican lean under the current map and his consistent prior performance. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing the long-serving representative to focus resources on the general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health issues for the incumbent, or shifts in national political conditions that boost Democratic turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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