Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier holds a commanding position in Washington’s 8th congressional district due to her established record since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the seat’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index. Her 53-54% share in the August 2026 top-two primary, outpacing a fragmented Republican field where Spencer Meline advanced narrowly in second, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, sharp national realignment favoring Republicans, or unexpectedly low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,570 交易量
$22,570 交易量
2026-11-03
金‧施賴爾（民主黨）
97%
斯賓塞·梅林（共和黨）
2%
$22,570 交易量
$22,570 交易量
2026-11-03
金‧施賴爾（民主黨）
$9,508 交易量
97%
斯賓塞·梅林（共和黨）
$13,062 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier holds a commanding position in Washington’s 8th congressional district due to her established record since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the seat’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index. Her 53-54% share in the August 2026 top-two primary, outpacing a fragmented Republican field where Spencer Meline advanced narrowly in second, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, sharp national realignment favoring Republicans, or unexpectedly low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$22,570結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier holds a commanding position in Washington’s 8th congressional district due to her established record since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the seat’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index. Her 53-54% share in the August 2026 top-two primary, outpacing a fragmented Republican field where Spencer Meline advanced narrowly in second, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, sharp national realignment favoring Republicans, or unexpectedly low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,570結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Kim Schrier holds a commanding position in Washington’s 8th congressional district due to her established record since 2018, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the seat’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index. Her 53-54% share in the August 2026 top-two primary, outpacing a fragmented Republican field where Spencer Meline advanced narrowly in second, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, sharp national realignment favoring Republicans, or unexpectedly low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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