Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in the Washington 7th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 70 points and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the five-term incumbent, Jayapal advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who secured about 11% alongside minor challengers. The district's urban Seattle core and consistent voter patterns have limited Republican performance to around 15% in prior cycles, aligning with trader consensus at 96.2% for Jayapal. A shift would require an unprecedented development, such as a major scandal or significant national realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,611 交易量
$34,611 交易量
2026-11-02
普拉米拉·賈雅帕爾（民主黨）
96%
Nirav Sheth（共和黨）
2%
$34,611 交易量
$34,611 交易量
2026-11-02
普拉米拉·賈雅帕爾（民主黨）
$11,607 交易量
96%
Nirav Sheth（共和黨）
$23,004 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in the Washington 7th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 70 points and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the five-term incumbent, Jayapal advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who secured about 11% alongside minor challengers. The district's urban Seattle core and consistent voter patterns have limited Republican performance to around 15% in prior cycles, aligning with trader consensus at 96.2% for Jayapal. A shift would require an unprecedented development, such as a major scandal or significant national realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,611結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in the Washington 7th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 70 points and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the five-term incumbent, Jayapal advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who secured about 11% alongside minor challengers. The district's urban Seattle core and consistent voter patterns have limited Republican performance to around 15% in prior cycles, aligning with trader consensus at 96.2% for Jayapal. A shift would require an unprecedented development, such as a major scandal or significant national realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,611結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETPramila Jayapal holds a commanding position in the Washington 7th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 70 points and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the five-term incumbent, Jayapal advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who secured about 11% alongside minor challengers. The district's urban Seattle core and consistent voter patterns have limited Republican performance to around 15% in prior cycles, aligning with trader consensus at 96.2% for Jayapal. A shift would require an unprecedented development, such as a major scandal or significant national realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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