Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$63,526 交易量
$63,526 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷戈里·米克斯（民主黨）
97%
喬治·馬許（共和黨）
1%
$63,526 交易量
$63,526 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷戈里·米克斯（民主黨）
$21,339 交易量
97%
喬治·馬許（共和黨）
$42,187 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$63,526結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,526結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETIncumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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