Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Dan Newhouse, sits in one of the state’s most conservative districts where recent presidential results favored Republicans by roughly 20 points. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated Republican support in the August 4 top-two primary to finish first at 35 percent, advancing against sole Democrat John Duresky. She also benefits from substantial fundraising, including support from aligned super PACs, while Duresky’s campaign remains far more limited. A September 30 debate and the November 3 general election timeline leave room for late developments such as scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises to alter the outcome, though the district’s partisan baseline has produced the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$57,658 交易量
$57,658 交易量
2026-11-03
阿曼達·麥金尼（共和黨）
92%
約翰·杜雷斯基（民主黨）
7%
$57,658 交易量
$57,658 交易量
2026-11-03
阿曼達·麥金尼（共和黨）
$30,926 交易量
92%
約翰·杜雷斯基（民主黨）
$26,732 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Dan Newhouse, sits in one of the state’s most conservative districts where recent presidential results favored Republicans by roughly 20 points. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated Republican support in the August 4 top-two primary to finish first at 35 percent, advancing against sole Democrat John Duresky. She also benefits from substantial fundraising, including support from aligned super PACs, while Duresky’s campaign remains far more limited. A September 30 debate and the November 3 general election timeline leave room for late developments such as scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises to alter the outcome, though the district’s partisan baseline has produced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$57,658結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Dan Newhouse, sits in one of the state’s most conservative districts where recent presidential results favored Republicans by roughly 20 points. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated Republican support in the August 4 top-two primary to finish first at 35 percent, advancing against sole Democrat John Duresky. She also benefits from substantial fundraising, including support from aligned super PACs, while Duresky’s campaign remains far more limited. A September 30 debate and the November 3 general election timeline leave room for late developments such as scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises to alter the outcome, though the district’s partisan baseline has produced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$57,658結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAmanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in the Washington 4th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Republican Dan Newhouse, sits in one of the state’s most conservative districts where recent presidential results favored Republicans by roughly 20 points. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and Trump-endorsed candidate, consolidated Republican support in the August 4 top-two primary to finish first at 35 percent, advancing against sole Democrat John Duresky. She also benefits from substantial fundraising, including support from aligned super PACs, while Duresky’s campaign remains far more limited. A September 30 debate and the November 3 general election timeline leave room for late developments such as scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises to alter the outcome, though the district’s partisan baseline has produced the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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