Incumbent Jefferson Shreve holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 6th congressional district, where consistent Republican voting patterns, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 32 points, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican have shaped trader consensus. Shreve secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 53 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. His campaign reports over $2.4 million raised through mid-2026 compared with roughly $37,000 for Democratic nominee Cinde Wirth, who won her primary but faces structural barriers in the R+16 district. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges in specific counties, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,216 交易量
$37,216 交易量
2026-11-02
傑佛森·施雷夫（共和黨）
95%
Cinde Wirth（民主黨）
5%
$37,216 交易量
$37,216 交易量
2026-11-02
傑佛森·施雷夫（共和黨）
$24,226 交易量
95%
Cinde Wirth（民主黨）
$12,990 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jefferson Shreve holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 6th congressional district, where consistent Republican voting patterns, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 32 points, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican have shaped trader consensus. Shreve secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 53 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. His campaign reports over $2.4 million raised through mid-2026 compared with roughly $37,000 for Democratic nominee Cinde Wirth, who won her primary but faces structural barriers in the R+16 district. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges in specific counties, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,216結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jefferson Shreve holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 6th congressional district, where consistent Republican voting patterns, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 32 points, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican have shaped trader consensus. Shreve secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 53 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. His campaign reports over $2.4 million raised through mid-2026 compared with roughly $37,000 for Democratic nominee Cinde Wirth, who won her primary but faces structural barriers in the R+16 district. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges in specific counties, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,216結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Jefferson Shreve holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 6th congressional district, where consistent Republican voting patterns, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 32 points, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe Republican have shaped trader consensus. Shreve secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 53 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. His campaign reports over $2.4 million raised through mid-2026 compared with roughly $37,000 for Democratic nominee Cinde Wirth, who won her primary but faces structural barriers in the R+16 district. Late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surges in specific counties, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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