Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and is centered on urban Indianapolis. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past margins exceeding 65 percent, including Carson's 2024 result. The Republican nominee, Patrick McAuley, faces limited fundraising and name recognition in a district where Democratic performance in statewide races routinely exceeds 65 percent. Trader consensus above 95 percent for Carson reflects these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national swing before November 3 could still shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,726 交易量
$45,726 交易量
2026-11-02
安德烈·卡森（民主黨）
97%
派翠克·麥考利（共和黨）
1%
$45,726 交易量
$45,726 交易量
2026-11-02
安德烈·卡森（民主黨）
$7,947 交易量
97%
派翠克·麥考利（共和黨）
$37,779 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and is centered on urban Indianapolis. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past margins exceeding 65 percent, including Carson's 2024 result. The Republican nominee, Patrick McAuley, faces limited fundraising and name recognition in a district where Democratic performance in statewide races routinely exceeds 65 percent. Trader consensus above 95 percent for Carson reflects these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national swing before November 3 could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,726結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and is centered on urban Indianapolis. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past margins exceeding 65 percent, including Carson's 2024 result. The Republican nominee, Patrick McAuley, faces limited fundraising and name recognition in a district where Democratic performance in statewide races routinely exceeds 65 percent. Trader consensus above 95 percent for Carson reflects these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national swing before November 3 could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,726結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and is centered on urban Indianapolis. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past margins exceeding 65 percent, including Carson's 2024 result. The Republican nominee, Patrick McAuley, faces limited fundraising and name recognition in a district where Democratic performance in statewide races routinely exceeds 65 percent. Trader consensus above 95 percent for Carson reflects these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or extreme national swing before November 3 could still shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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