Rudy Yakym’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Indiana’s 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat’s established R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Yakym advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary, preserving resources and visibility, while Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary to face structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-campaign scandals, unexpected national political waves, health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas such as South Bend and Elkhart.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,024 交易量
$33,024 交易量
2026-11-02
魯迪·亞金（共和黨）
96%
Jamee Decio（民主黨）
5%
$33,024 交易量
$33,024 交易量
2026-11-02
魯迪·亞金（共和黨）
$24,491 交易量
96%
Jamee Decio（民主黨）
$8,533 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rudy Yakym’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Indiana’s 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat’s established R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Yakym advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary, preserving resources and visibility, while Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary to face structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-campaign scandals, unexpected national political waves, health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas such as South Bend and Elkhart.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rudy Yakym’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Indiana’s 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat’s established R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Yakym advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary, preserving resources and visibility, while Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary to face structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-campaign scandals, unexpected national political waves, health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas such as South Bend and Elkhart.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRudy Yakym’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Indiana’s 2nd Congressional District stems from the seat’s established R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Yakym advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary, preserving resources and visibility, while Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary to face structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-campaign scandals, unexpected national political waves, health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas such as South Bend and Elkhart.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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