Incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 28 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Yakym, serving since 2022, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary while amassing over $5 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who won her primary with 72 percent, trails significantly in resources and lacks polling momentum. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Yakym aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,014 交易量
$33,014 交易量
2026-11-02
魯迪·亞金（共和黨）
96%
Jamee Decio（民主黨）
5%
$33,014 交易量
$33,014 交易量
2026-11-02
魯迪·亞金（共和黨）
$24,480 交易量
96%
Jamee Decio（民主黨）
$8,533 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 28 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Yakym, serving since 2022, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary while amassing over $5 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who won her primary with 72 percent, trails significantly in resources and lacks polling momentum. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Yakym aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,014結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 28 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Yakym, serving since 2022, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary while amassing over $5 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who won her primary with 72 percent, trails significantly in resources and lacks polling momentum. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Yakym aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,014結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 28 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Yakym, serving since 2022, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May primary while amassing over $5 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio, who won her primary with 72 percent, trails significantly in resources and lacks polling momentum. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Yakym aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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