Frank Mrvan's incumbency in Indiana's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Mrvan secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the May primary and has represented the area since 2021, building on prior overperformance relative to the top of the ticket. The district favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and independent forecasts rate the race as likely Democratic based on fundamentals. Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who won her primary with about 46 percent, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Frank Mrvan（民主黨）
94%
Barb Regnitz（共和黨）
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Frank Mrvan（民主黨）
$3,063 交易量
94%
Barb Regnitz（共和黨）
$3,955 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Mrvan's incumbency in Indiana's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Mrvan secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the May primary and has represented the area since 2021, building on prior overperformance relative to the top of the ticket. The district favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and independent forecasts rate the race as likely Democratic based on fundamentals. Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who won her primary with about 46 percent, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$7,017結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Mrvan's incumbency in Indiana's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Mrvan secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the May primary and has represented the area since 2021, building on prior overperformance relative to the top of the ticket. The district favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and independent forecasts rate the race as likely Democratic based on fundamentals. Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who won her primary with about 46 percent, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,017結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETFrank Mrvan's incumbency in Indiana's 1st congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Mrvan secured his party's nomination with roughly 80 percent in the May primary and has represented the area since 2021, building on prior overperformance relative to the top of the ticket. The district favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and independent forecasts rate the race as likely Democratic based on fundamentals. Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who won her primary with about 46 percent, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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