Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary and prevailing in the August 25 runoff, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democrat John Croisant. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, producing trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising, broad local endorsements from Tulsa-area officials, and state legislative experience, while Croisant advanced unopposed in a low-visibility Democratic primary with far less campaign infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and any shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,704 交易量
$32,704 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·特德福德（共和黨）
93%
約翰·克魯瓦桑（民主黨）
9%
$32,704 交易量
$32,704 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·特德福德（共和黨）
$19,849 交易量
93%
約翰·克魯瓦桑（民主黨）
$12,855 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary and prevailing in the August 25 runoff, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democrat John Croisant. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, producing trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising, broad local endorsements from Tulsa-area officials, and state legislative experience, while Croisant advanced unopposed in a low-visibility Democratic primary with far less campaign infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and any shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$32,704結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary and prevailing in the August 25 runoff, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democrat John Croisant. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, producing trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising, broad local endorsements from Tulsa-area officials, and state legislative experience, while Croisant advanced unopposed in a low-visibility Democratic primary with far less campaign infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and any shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,704結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETMark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary and prevailing in the August 25 runoff, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democrat John Croisant. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, producing trader consensus around a 92 percent probability for the GOP nominee. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising, broad local endorsements from Tulsa-area officials, and state legislative experience, while Croisant advanced unopposed in a low-visibility Democratic primary with far less campaign infrastructure. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and any shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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