Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,854 交易量
$34,854 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·特德福德（共和黨）
92%
約翰·克魯瓦桑（民主黨）
8%
$34,854 交易量
$34,854 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·特德福德（共和黨）
$19,850 交易量
92%
約翰·克魯瓦桑（民主黨）
$15,004 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,854結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,854結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETMark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff when opponent Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew. The open seat, vacated by Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, sits in a Tulsa-area district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding R+11. Tedford’s advantages include substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, local endorsements from mayors and county officials, and name recognition as a sitting state representative. Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa school board member and insurance agency owner who ran unopposed in his primary, has raised far less and faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for Tedford reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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