Incumbent Frank Lucas secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district with 70.8% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced with 67.4% of her party's vote. The district's strong Republican lean, consistent with historical voting patterns in western Oklahoma, underpins trader consensus around Lucas's position ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. Lucas's long tenure and primary margin further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$105,122 交易量
$105,122 交易量
2026-11-02
法蘭克·盧卡斯（共和黨）
97%
蘇茲·伯德（民主黨）
1%
$105,122 交易量
$105,122 交易量
2026-11-02
法蘭克·盧卡斯（共和黨）
$61,086 交易量
97%
蘇茲·伯德（民主黨）
$44,036 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Frank Lucas secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district with 70.8% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced with 67.4% of her party's vote. The district's strong Republican lean, consistent with historical voting patterns in western Oklahoma, underpins trader consensus around Lucas's position ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. Lucas's long tenure and primary margin further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$105,122結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Frank Lucas secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district with 70.8% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced with 67.4% of her party's vote. The district's strong Republican lean, consistent with historical voting patterns in western Oklahoma, underpins trader consensus around Lucas's position ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. Lucas's long tenure and primary margin further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$105,122結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Frank Lucas secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district with 70.8% in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced with 67.4% of her party's vote. The district's strong Republican lean, consistent with historical voting patterns in western Oklahoma, underpins trader consensus around Lucas's position ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising. Lucas's long tenure and primary margin further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, serious health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain significant.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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