Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. The longtime incumbent, serving since 2003, secured his party's nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Mitchell Jacob, the general election opponent following his own primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Cole roughly 65 percent of the vote in 2024. An independent candidate also appears on the November ballot. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this south-central Oklahoma district suggest limited room for such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,469 交易量
$27,469 交易量
2026-11-02
湯姆·科爾（共和黨）
94%
米契爾·雅各布（民主黨）
6%
$27,469 交易量
$27,469 交易量
2026-11-02
湯姆·科爾（共和黨）
$15,646 交易量
94%
米契爾·雅各布（民主黨）
$11,822 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. The longtime incumbent, serving since 2003, secured his party's nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Mitchell Jacob, the general election opponent following his own primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Cole roughly 65 percent of the vote in 2024. An independent candidate also appears on the November ballot. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this south-central Oklahoma district suggest limited room for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$27,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. The longtime incumbent, serving since 2003, secured his party's nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Mitchell Jacob, the general election opponent following his own primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Cole roughly 65 percent of the vote in 2024. An independent candidate also appears on the November ballot. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this south-central Oklahoma district suggest limited room for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETTom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. The longtime incumbent, serving since 2003, secured his party's nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Mitchell Jacob, the general election opponent following his own primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Cole roughly 65 percent of the vote in 2024. An independent candidate also appears on the November ballot. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this south-central Oklahoma district suggest limited room for such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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