Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice holds a strong position in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly R+9 to R+12 and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring her reelection. Bice advanced automatically after no Republican challengers filed, while Democrat Jena Nelson secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary. Bice’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but have shown limited fundraising or visibility. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,254 交易量
$16,254 交易量
2026-11-02
史蒂芬妮·比斯（共和黨）
88%
珍娜·尼爾森（民主黨）
11%
$16,254 交易量
$16,254 交易量
2026-11-02
史蒂芬妮·比斯（共和黨）
$11,179 交易量
88%
珍娜·尼爾森（民主黨）
$5,075 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice holds a strong position in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly R+9 to R+12 and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring her reelection. Bice advanced automatically after no Republican challengers filed, while Democrat Jena Nelson secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary. Bice’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but have shown limited fundraising or visibility. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,254結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice holds a strong position in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly R+9 to R+12 and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring her reelection. Bice advanced automatically after no Republican challengers filed, while Democrat Jena Nelson secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary. Bice’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but have shown limited fundraising or visibility. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,254結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Stephanie Bice holds a strong position in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly R+9 to R+12 and Donald Trump’s 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring her reelection. Bice advanced automatically after no Republican challengers filed, while Democrat Jena Nelson secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary. Bice’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but have shown limited fundraising or visibility. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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