Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+4 to R+6 on the partisan voting index. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's 54.5 percent win in 2024. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have held the seat since 2012. The general election on November 3 features limited recent polling and no major developments since the primaries that would alter the established partisan baseline or incumbency advantage reflected in current trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
77%
民主黨
24%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
$4,636 交易量
77%
民主黨
$3,833 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+4 to R+6 on the partisan voting index. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's 54.5 percent win in 2024. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have held the seat since 2012. The general election on November 3 features limited recent polling and no major developments since the primaries that would alter the established partisan baseline or incumbency advantage reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+4 to R+6 on the partisan voting index. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's 54.5 percent win in 2024. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have held the seat since 2012. The general election on November 3 features limited recent polling and no major developments since the primaries that would alter the established partisan baseline or incumbency advantage reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+4 to R+6 on the partisan voting index. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's 54.5 percent win in 2024. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have held the seat since 2012. The general election on November 3 features limited recent polling and no major developments since the primaries that would alter the established partisan baseline or incumbency advantage reflected in current trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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