Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$40,982 交易量
$40,982 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$40,982 交易量
$40,982 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$26,328 交易量
94%
民主黨
$14,654 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$40,982結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,982結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMissouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall, who prevailed in a competitive field after longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired, and Democratic nominee Josh Smead. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with the district’s rural northern Missouri base and historical margins exceeding 20 points. A late scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural and rating data indicate such shifts remain unlikely before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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