Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing him at 49-55% in the first round scheduled for October 4 and strong approval ratings near 65%. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September confirm a 15-point or larger margin over Fernando Haddad of the PT, with other contenders such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra having withdrawn earlier, consolidating voter support behind the frontrunner and reducing the chance of a runoff. High rejection levels for Haddad further reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift among key blocs, or unexpected polling error could still narrow the gap before election day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯 98.8%
費爾南多·哈達德 <1%
艾莉卡·希爾頓 <1%
金·卡塔古里 <1%
$312,760 交易量
$312,760 交易量
2027-06-30
塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
99%
費爾南多·哈達德
1%
艾莉卡·希爾頓
<1%
金·卡塔古里
<1%
馬西奧·法蘭薩
<1%
塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯 98.8%
費爾南多·哈達德 <1%
艾莉卡·希爾頓 <1%
金·卡塔古里 <1%
$312,760 交易量
$312,760 交易量
2027-06-30
塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
$148,317 交易量
99%
費爾南多·哈達德
$51,583 交易量
1%
艾莉卡·希爾頓
$23,068 交易量
<1%
金·卡塔古里
$79,124 交易量
<1%
馬西奧·法蘭薩
$10,668 交易量
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing him at 49-55% in the first round scheduled for October 4 and strong approval ratings near 65%. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September confirm a 15-point or larger margin over Fernando Haddad of the PT, with other contenders such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra having withdrawn earlier, consolidating voter support behind the frontrunner and reducing the chance of a runoff. High rejection levels for Haddad further reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift among key blocs, or unexpected polling error could still narrow the gap before election day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
交易量
$312,760結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETThe São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing him at 49-55% in the first round scheduled for October 4 and strong approval ratings near 65%. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September confirm a 15-point or larger margin over Fernando Haddad of the PT, with other contenders such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra having withdrawn earlier, consolidating voter support behind the frontrunner and reducing the chance of a runoff. High rejection levels for Haddad further reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift among key blocs, or unexpected polling error could still narrow the gap before election day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$312,760結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETTarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing him at 49-55% in the first round scheduled for October 4 and strong approval ratings near 65%. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September confirm a 15-point or larger margin over Fernando Haddad of the PT, with other contenders such as Kim Kataguiri and Paulo Serra having withdrawn earlier, consolidating voter support behind the frontrunner and reducing the chance of a runoff. High rejection levels for Haddad further reinforce the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift among key blocs, or unexpected polling error could still narrow the gap before election day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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