California Proposition 45, set for the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act to impose deadlines on agency reviews, limit alternatives analysis, and restrict litigation timelines for housing, transportation, water, clean energy, and similar projects. The measure qualified for the ballot in mid-June 2026 after signature verification, drawing endorsements from the California Chamber of Commerce, building industry associations, and utility companies seeking faster permitting. A June-July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California survey of likely voters showed 73 percent support, reflecting broad trader consensus around housing affordability and infrastructure delays as primary drivers. Environmental organizations and some labor groups oppose the changes, citing reduced public input and oversight, yet recent legislative CEQA reforms signed in 2025 have not shifted momentum away from the initiative. With the vote roughly three months away, scheduled campaign spending and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California Proposition 45, set for the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act to impose deadlines on agency reviews, limit alternatives analysis, and restrict litigation timelines for housing, transportation, water, clean energy, and similar projects. The measure qualified for the ballot in mid-June 2026 after signature verification, drawing endorsements from the California Chamber of Commerce, building industry associations, and utility companies seeking faster permitting. A June-July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California survey of likely voters showed 73 percent support, reflecting broad trader consensus around housing affordability and infrastructure delays as primary drivers. Environmental organizations and some labor groups oppose the changes, citing reduced public input and oversight, yet recent legislative CEQA reforms signed in 2025 have not shifted momentum away from the initiative. With the vote roughly three months away, scheduled campaign spending and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions