Recent polls show the BC NDP holding a narrow lead over the BC Conservatives ahead of the October 24 snap election, with the NDP at 41% and Conservatives at 36% in the latest survey, while Greens sit at 12% and smaller parties trail. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Conservatives for second place, reflecting their status as the primary opposition with strong rural and interior support despite recent leadership turnover and MLA shifts to CentreBC. NDP probabilities for second reflect expectations they will finish first, while fragmented support for Greens, CentreBC, OneBC, and others limits their prospects absent major late swings. Regional divides and voter dissatisfaction with provincial direction add uncertainty but have not shifted the main two-party dynamic in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於保守黨 64%
新民主黨 33%
綠黨 4.2%
OneBC 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-10-24
保守黨
64%
新民主黨
33%
綠黨
4%
OneBC
4%
CentreBC
3%
保守黨 64%
新民主黨 33%
綠黨 4.2%
OneBC 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-10-24
保守黨
$259 交易量
64%
新民主黨
$127 交易量
33%
綠黨
$150 交易量
4%
OneBC
$121 交易量
4%
CentreBC
$121 交易量
3%
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polls show the BC NDP holding a narrow lead over the BC Conservatives ahead of the October 24 snap election, with the NDP at 41% and Conservatives at 36% in the latest survey, while Greens sit at 12% and smaller parties trail. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Conservatives for second place, reflecting their status as the primary opposition with strong rural and interior support despite recent leadership turnover and MLA shifts to CentreBC. NDP probabilities for second reflect expectations they will finish first, while fragmented support for Greens, CentreBC, OneBC, and others limits their prospects absent major late swings. Regional divides and voter dissatisfaction with provincial direction add uncertainty but have not shifted the main two-party dynamic in recent weeks.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ET
交易量
$779結束日期
2026-10-24市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ETGeneral elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polls show the BC NDP holding a narrow lead over the BC Conservatives ahead of the October 24 snap election, with the NDP at 41% and Conservatives at 36% in the latest survey, while Greens sit at 12% and smaller parties trail. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Conservatives for second place, reflecting their status as the primary opposition with strong rural and interior support despite recent leadership turnover and MLA shifts to CentreBC. NDP probabilities for second reflect expectations they will finish first, while fragmented support for Greens, CentreBC, OneBC, and others limits their prospects absent major late swings. Regional divides and voter dissatisfaction with provincial direction add uncertainty but have not shifted the main two-party dynamic in recent weeks.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
交易量
$779結束日期
2026-10-24市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 9:51 AM ETRecent polls show the BC NDP holding a narrow lead over the BC Conservatives ahead of the October 24 snap election, with the NDP at 41% and Conservatives at 36% in the latest survey, while Greens sit at 12% and smaller parties trail. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Conservatives for second place, reflecting their status as the primary opposition with strong rural and interior support despite recent leadership turnover and MLA shifts to CentreBC. NDP probabilities for second reflect expectations they will finish first, while fragmented support for Greens, CentreBC, OneBC, and others limits their prospects absent major late swings. Regional divides and voter dissatisfaction with provincial direction add uncertainty but have not shifted the main two-party dynamic in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions