Iliana Iotova leads the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market at 68.5% implied probability due to her established role as vice president, name recognition from the Rumen Radev era, and explicit backing from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition plus allied groups following that bloc's parliamentary majority win in April 2026. Andrey Gyurov holds second at 21.5% on the basis of opposition party positioning and limited polling visibility, while lower probabilities for figures such as Nikolai Denkov, Boyko Borissov, and others reflect fragmented support across smaller or declining parties amid ongoing coalition dynamics and the November 2026 vote timeline. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency-linked candidates in Bulgaria's two-round system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊莉安娜·約托娃 69%
安德烈·久羅夫 21%
尼科萊·登科夫 1.3%
博伊科·鮑里索夫 <1%
$289,767 交易量
$289,767 交易量
伊莉安娜·約托娃
69%
安德烈·久羅夫
21%
尼科萊·登科夫
1%
博伊科·鮑里索夫
1%
瓦西爾·特爾齊耶夫
1%
羅森·日利亞茲科夫
<1%
娜塔莉亞·基謝洛娃
<1%
科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫
<1%
布拉戈米爾·科採夫
<1%
亞納基·斯托伊洛夫
<1%
阿塔納斯·阿塔納索夫
<1%
德利揚·佩夫斯基
<1%
羅森·普萊夫內利夫
<1%
克魯姆·扎爾科夫
<1%
伊莉安娜·約托娃 69%
安德烈·久羅夫 21%
尼科萊·登科夫 1.3%
博伊科·鮑里索夫 <1%
$289,767 交易量
$289,767 交易量
伊莉安娜·約托娃
69%
安德烈·久羅夫
21%
尼科萊·登科夫
1%
博伊科·鮑里索夫
1%
瓦西爾·特爾齊耶夫
1%
羅森·日利亞茲科夫
<1%
娜塔莉亞·基謝洛娃
<1%
科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫
<1%
布拉戈米爾·科採夫
<1%
亞納基·斯托伊洛夫
<1%
阿塔納斯·阿塔納索夫
<1%
德利揚·佩夫斯基
<1%
羅森·普萊夫內利夫
<1%
克魯姆·扎爾科夫
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
市場開放時間： Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova leads the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market at 68.5% implied probability due to her established role as vice president, name recognition from the Rumen Radev era, and explicit backing from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition plus allied groups following that bloc's parliamentary majority win in April 2026. Andrey Gyurov holds second at 21.5% on the basis of opposition party positioning and limited polling visibility, while lower probabilities for figures such as Nikolai Denkov, Boyko Borissov, and others reflect fragmented support across smaller or declining parties amid ongoing coalition dynamics and the November 2026 vote timeline. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency-linked candidates in Bulgaria's two-round system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions