Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by demographics and voting history. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors, limited Republican infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or recent shifts. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,566 交易量
$36,566 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
99%
共和黨
1%
$36,566 交易量
$36,566 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$22,595 交易量
99%
共和黨
$13,971 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by demographics and voting history. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors, limited Republican infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or recent shifts. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,566結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by demographics and voting history. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors, limited Republican infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or recent shifts. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,566結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reinforced by demographics and voting history. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors, limited Republican infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or recent shifts. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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