Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in the August 4 primary. All major forecasters rate the St. Louis-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+29 partisan lean and Bell's 76% victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 99% due to the district's entrenched voting patterns, Bell's fundraising and institutional support, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. Late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,566 交易量
$36,566 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
99%
共和黨
1%
$36,566 交易量
$36,566 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$22,595 交易量
99%
共和黨
$13,971 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in the August 4 primary. All major forecasters rate the St. Louis-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+29 partisan lean and Bell's 76% victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 99% due to the district's entrenched voting patterns, Bell's fundraising and institutional support, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. Late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,566結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in the August 4 primary. All major forecasters rate the St. Louis-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+29 partisan lean and Bell's 76% victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 99% due to the district's entrenched voting patterns, Bell's fundraising and institutional support, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. Late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,566結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in the August 4 primary. All major forecasters rate the St. Louis-area seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+29 partisan lean and Bell's 76% victory in 2024. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited opposition. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 99% due to the district's entrenched voting patterns, Bell's fundraising and institutional support, and the absence of competitive challengers or recent developments that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. Late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health development remain the primary theoretical risks to the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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