The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting prompted the prior Democratic incumbent to seek another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting GOP House member. Primary runoffs concluded in late May without altering the district's underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus reflects this lean while pricing in a narrow margin, driven by the candidates' profiles, suburban San Antonio and exurban voter dynamics, and the broader 2026 House environment. Limited general-election polling and no major developments since the primaries have sustained the tight spread, with turnout patterns or late endorsements among key voting blocs the most likely factors to shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
53%
共和黨
45%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$4,833 交易量
53%
共和黨
$4,517 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting prompted the prior Democratic incumbent to seek another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting GOP House member. Primary runoffs concluded in late May without altering the district's underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus reflects this lean while pricing in a narrow margin, driven by the candidates' profiles, suburban San Antonio and exurban voter dynamics, and the broader 2026 House environment. Limited general-election polling and no major developments since the primaries have sustained the tight spread, with turnout patterns or late endorsements among key voting blocs the most likely factors to shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$9,350結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting prompted the prior Democratic incumbent to seek another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting GOP House member. Primary runoffs concluded in late May without altering the district's underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus reflects this lean while pricing in a narrow margin, driven by the candidates' profiles, suburban San Antonio and exurban voter dynamics, and the broader 2026 House environment. Limited general-election polling and no major developments since the primaries have sustained the tight spread, with turnout patterns or late endorsements among key voting blocs the most likely factors to shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,350結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open TX-35 seat, vacated after redistricting prompted the prior Democratic incumbent to seek another district, features Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff, against Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting GOP House member. Primary runoffs concluded in late May without altering the district's underlying partisan tilt. Trader consensus reflects this lean while pricing in a narrow margin, driven by the candidates' profiles, suburban San Antonio and exurban voter dynamics, and the broader 2026 House environment. Limited general-election polling and no major developments since the primaries have sustained the tight spread, with turnout patterns or late endorsements among key voting blocs the most likely factors to shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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