Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote in Texas’s 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The solidly Republican district, which delivered strong margins for the party’s presidential and Senate candidates in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 92.5 percent implied probability. Redistricting adjustments have not materially altered its partisan composition, and no major scandals, polling shifts, or national wave effects have emerged since the primaries to narrow the gap. A significant Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$8,235 交易量
93%
Democratic Party
$19,903 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote in Texas’s 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The solidly Republican district, which delivered strong margins for the party’s presidential and Senate candidates in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 92.5 percent implied probability. Redistricting adjustments have not materially altered its partisan composition, and no major scandals, polling shifts, or national wave effects have emerged since the primaries to narrow the gap. A significant Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote in Texas’s 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The solidly Republican district, which delivered strong margins for the party’s presidential and Senate candidates in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 92.5 percent implied probability. Redistricting adjustments have not materially altered its partisan composition, and no major scandals, polling shifts, or national wave effects have emerged since the primaries to narrow the gap. A significant Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote in Texas’s 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The solidly Republican district, which delivered strong margins for the party’s presidential and Senate candidates in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 92.5 percent implied probability. Redistricting adjustments have not materially altered its partisan composition, and no major scandals, polling shifts, or national wave effects have emerged since the primaries to narrow the gap. A significant Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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