Incumbent Republican Brian Babin’s strong primary performance and the district’s consistent R+18 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The southeast Texas seat, encompassing parts of Harris County and rural counties like Hardin and Jefferson, has delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential and Senate races. Forecasters uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following Babin’s 81 percent primary win and Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart’s primary victory. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the wide spread reflects the seat’s structural Republican advantage and limited evidence of a competitive national environment shifting local dynamics. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$8,235 交易量
93%
Democratic Party
$19,903 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin’s strong primary performance and the district’s consistent R+18 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The southeast Texas seat, encompassing parts of Harris County and rural counties like Hardin and Jefferson, has delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential and Senate races. Forecasters uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following Babin’s 81 percent primary win and Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart’s primary victory. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the wide spread reflects the seat’s structural Republican advantage and limited evidence of a competitive national environment shifting local dynamics. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin’s strong primary performance and the district’s consistent R+18 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The southeast Texas seat, encompassing parts of Harris County and rural counties like Hardin and Jefferson, has delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential and Senate races. Forecasters uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following Babin’s 81 percent primary win and Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart’s primary victory. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the wide spread reflects the seat’s structural Republican advantage and limited evidence of a competitive national environment shifting local dynamics. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin’s strong primary performance and the district’s consistent R+18 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The southeast Texas seat, encompassing parts of Harris County and rural counties like Hardin and Jefferson, has delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential and Senate races. Forecasters uniformly rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following Babin’s 81 percent primary win and Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart’s primary victory. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the wide spread reflects the seat’s structural Republican advantage and limited evidence of a competitive national environment shifting local dynamics. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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