Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge over Democratic challenger Bob Harvie in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a competitive Bucks County-based seat with a narrow Democratic lean. Traders price Fitzpatrick at 60.5% and Harvie at 40.5% primarily due to Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile, strong fundraising lead exceeding $6 million cash on hand, and repeated reelection success in the district. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, with one Democratic survey placing Harvie at 48% and Fitzpatrick at 49%. The race centers on affordability, data center development, and local infrastructure concerns, where Harvie has launched attacks on Fitzpatrick’s record while national Democratic groups target the seat as a potential flip. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
布萊恩·費茲派翠克（共和黨）
61%
Bob Harvie（民主黨）
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
布萊恩·費茲派翠克（共和黨）
$4,414 交易量
61%
Bob Harvie（民主黨）
$3,205 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge over Democratic challenger Bob Harvie in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a competitive Bucks County-based seat with a narrow Democratic lean. Traders price Fitzpatrick at 60.5% and Harvie at 40.5% primarily due to Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile, strong fundraising lead exceeding $6 million cash on hand, and repeated reelection success in the district. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, with one Democratic survey placing Harvie at 48% and Fitzpatrick at 49%. The race centers on affordability, data center development, and local infrastructure concerns, where Harvie has launched attacks on Fitzpatrick’s record while national Democratic groups target the seat as a potential flip. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,619結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge over Democratic challenger Bob Harvie in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a competitive Bucks County-based seat with a narrow Democratic lean. Traders price Fitzpatrick at 60.5% and Harvie at 40.5% primarily due to Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile, strong fundraising lead exceeding $6 million cash on hand, and repeated reelection success in the district. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, with one Democratic survey placing Harvie at 48% and Fitzpatrick at 49%. The race centers on affordability, data center development, and local infrastructure concerns, where Harvie has launched attacks on Fitzpatrick’s record while national Democratic groups target the seat as a potential flip. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,619結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETIncumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge over Democratic challenger Bob Harvie in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a competitive Bucks County-based seat with a narrow Democratic lean. Traders price Fitzpatrick at 60.5% and Harvie at 40.5% primarily due to Fitzpatrick’s established moderate profile, strong fundraising lead exceeding $6 million cash on hand, and repeated reelection success in the district. Recent August polling showed the candidates statistically tied, with one Democratic survey placing Harvie at 48% and Fitzpatrick at 49%. The race centers on affordability, data center development, and local infrastructure concerns, where Harvie has launched attacks on Fitzpatrick’s record while national Democratic groups target the seat as a potential flip. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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