Brendan Boyle holds a commanding lead in the PA-02 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, centered in central and northeastern Philadelphia with a D+19 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his incumbency and substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Jessica Arriaga's campaign has reported no fundraising, limiting visibility in a low-turnout environment favoring the established incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Boyle aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,239 交易量
$36,239 交易量
2026-11-02
布倫丹·博伊爾（民主黨）
95%
潔西卡·阿里亞加（共和黨）
3%
$36,239 交易量
$36,239 交易量
2026-11-02
布倫丹·博伊爾（民主黨）
$6,377 交易量
95%
潔西卡·阿里亞加（共和黨）
$29,862 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brendan Boyle holds a commanding lead in the PA-02 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, centered in central and northeastern Philadelphia with a D+19 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his incumbency and substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Jessica Arriaga's campaign has reported no fundraising, limiting visibility in a low-turnout environment favoring the established incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Boyle aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$36,239結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brendan Boyle holds a commanding lead in the PA-02 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, centered in central and northeastern Philadelphia with a D+19 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his incumbency and substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Jessica Arriaga's campaign has reported no fundraising, limiting visibility in a low-turnout environment favoring the established incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Boyle aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,239結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETBrendan Boyle holds a commanding lead in the PA-02 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, centered in central and northeastern Philadelphia with a D+19 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his incumbency and substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Jessica Arriaga's campaign has reported no fundraising, limiting visibility in a low-turnout environment favoring the established incumbent. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Boyle aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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