Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019 and won his last general election with 58 percent, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, prevailed in a four-way primary but faces structural challenges in a district that has supported Republicans in recent cycles. A scheduled October 22 debate offers the main remaining forum for contrast before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these incumbency, rating, and resource advantages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,780 交易量
$26,780 交易量
傑夫·范·德魯(共和黨)
84%
扎克·穆洛克(民主黨)
14%
$26,780 交易量
$26,780 交易量
傑夫·范·德魯(共和黨)
84%
扎克·穆洛克(民主黨)
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019 and won his last general election with 58 percent, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, prevailed in a four-way primary but faces structural challenges in a district that has supported Republicans in recent cycles. A scheduled October 22 debate offers the main remaining forum for contrast before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these incumbency, rating, and resource advantages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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