Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Norcross’s 57.8% victory in 2024 and prior margins exceeding 25 points in multiple cycles, underpins expectations. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries after an independent was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, limiting early contest dynamics. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to Republican Damon Galdo’s roughly $5,000, while independent ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the outcome, though structural factors favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,784 交易量
$45,784 交易量
2026-11-02
唐納德·諾克羅斯（民主黨）
95%
達蒙·加爾多（共和黨）
6%
$45,784 交易量
$45,784 交易量
2026-11-02
唐納德·諾克羅斯（民主黨）
$27,500 交易量
95%
達蒙·加爾多（共和黨）
$18,284 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Norcross’s 57.8% victory in 2024 and prior margins exceeding 25 points in multiple cycles, underpins expectations. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries after an independent was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, limiting early contest dynamics. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to Republican Damon Galdo’s roughly $5,000, while independent ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the outcome, though structural factors favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,784結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Norcross’s 57.8% victory in 2024 and prior margins exceeding 25 points in multiple cycles, underpins expectations. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries after an independent was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, limiting early contest dynamics. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to Republican Damon Galdo’s roughly $5,000, while independent ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the outcome, though structural factors favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,784結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Norcross’s 57.8% victory in 2024 and prior margins exceeding 25 points in multiple cycles, underpins expectations. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries after an independent was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, limiting early contest dynamics. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to Republican Damon Galdo’s roughly $5,000, while independent ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan shift could narrow the outcome, though structural factors favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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