Frank Pallone’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 6th congressional district, combined with the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his decisive primary victory, underpins trader consensus favoring his general-election win. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest, reflecting its D+5 Partisan Voter Index and Pallone’s repeated comfortable margins. Pallone secured the Democratic nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Pallone’s campaign reports over $3 million in cash on hand compared with Herzig’s minimal fundraising. Low-probability shifts could stem from a national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related developments, though the current structural and financial advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,673 交易量
$28,673 交易量
2026-11-02
法蘭克·帕隆尼（民主黨）
95%
希拉蕊·赫爾茲格（共和黨）
5%
$28,673 交易量
$28,673 交易量
2026-11-02
法蘭克·帕隆尼（民主黨）
$9,125 交易量
95%
希拉蕊·赫爾茲格（共和黨）
$19,548 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 6th congressional district, combined with the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his decisive primary victory, underpins trader consensus favoring his general-election win. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest, reflecting its D+5 Partisan Voter Index and Pallone’s repeated comfortable margins. Pallone secured the Democratic nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Pallone’s campaign reports over $3 million in cash on hand compared with Herzig’s minimal fundraising. Low-probability shifts could stem from a national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related developments, though the current structural and financial advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,673結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Pallone’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 6th congressional district, combined with the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his decisive primary victory, underpins trader consensus favoring his general-election win. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest, reflecting its D+5 Partisan Voter Index and Pallone’s repeated comfortable margins. Pallone secured the Democratic nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Pallone’s campaign reports over $3 million in cash on hand compared with Herzig’s minimal fundraising. Low-probability shifts could stem from a national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related developments, though the current structural and financial advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,673結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETFrank Pallone’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 6th congressional district, combined with the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his decisive primary victory, underpins trader consensus favoring his general-election win. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest, reflecting its D+5 Partisan Voter Index and Pallone’s repeated comfortable margins. Pallone secured the Democratic nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Pallone’s campaign reports over $3 million in cash on hand compared with Herzig’s minimal fundraising. Low-probability shifts could stem from a national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health-related developments, though the current structural and financial advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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