Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 6th Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig ran unopposed. The district’s partisan lean, Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The seat has resisted Republican gains even in stronger national environments for the party. Low-probability shifts could arise from a sharp national Republican wave, a significant late scandal, or turnout anomalies, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,667 交易量
$28,667 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$28,667 交易量
$28,667 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$9,124 交易量
95%
共和黨
$19,543 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 6th Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig ran unopposed. The district’s partisan lean, Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The seat has resisted Republican gains even in stronger national environments for the party. Low-probability shifts could arise from a sharp national Republican wave, a significant late scandal, or turnout anomalies, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,667結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 6th Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig ran unopposed. The district’s partisan lean, Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The seat has resisted Republican gains even in stronger national environments for the party. Low-probability shifts could arise from a sharp national Republican wave, a significant late scandal, or turnout anomalies, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,667結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 6th Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig ran unopposed. The district’s partisan lean, Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The seat has resisted Republican gains even in stronger national environments for the party. Low-probability shifts could arise from a sharp national Republican wave, a significant late scandal, or turnout anomalies, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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