Incumbent Democratic Representative Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent party control since the 1990s. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating, supported by Magaziner’s prior 58 percent general election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and limited Republican opposition from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly. An independent candidate has also filed, though without evident momentum to alter the contest. Primaries are scheduled for September 9, 2026, with the general election on November 3. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$4,305 交易量
94%
共和黨
$4,217 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent party control since the 1990s. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating, supported by Magaziner’s prior 58 percent general election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and limited Republican opposition from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly. An independent candidate has also filed, though without evident momentum to alter the contest. Primaries are scheduled for September 9, 2026, with the general election on November 3. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$8,522結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent party control since the 1990s. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating, supported by Magaziner’s prior 58 percent general election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and limited Republican opposition from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly. An independent candidate has also filed, though without evident momentum to alter the contest. Primaries are scheduled for September 9, 2026, with the general election on November 3. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,522結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Seth Magaziner seeks a third term in Rhode Island’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent party control since the 1990s. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating, supported by Magaziner’s prior 58 percent general election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and limited Republican opposition from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly. An independent candidate has also filed, though without evident momentum to alter the contest. Primaries are scheduled for September 9, 2026, with the general election on November 3. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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