Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of a credible Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with recent results showing McGovern winning his September 1 primary with over 99 percent of the vote. Recent activity on housing legislation and endorsements from labor and advocacy groups have reinforced his local profile without shifting the underlying partisan baseline. A late-filed Republican candidate or an unusually large national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain remote given the district's composition and filing timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$63,336 交易量
$63,336 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·麥高文（民主黨）
95%
共和黨
5%
$63,336 交易量
$63,336 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·麥高文（民主黨）
$35,228 交易量
95%
共和黨
$28,108 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of a credible Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with recent results showing McGovern winning his September 1 primary with over 99 percent of the vote. Recent activity on housing legislation and endorsements from labor and advocacy groups have reinforced his local profile without shifting the underlying partisan baseline. A late-filed Republican candidate or an unusually large national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain remote given the district's composition and filing timelines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$63,336結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of a credible Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with recent results showing McGovern winning his September 1 primary with over 99 percent of the vote. Recent activity on housing legislation and endorsements from labor and advocacy groups have reinforced his local profile without shifting the underlying partisan baseline. A late-filed Republican candidate or an unusually large national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain remote given the district's composition and filing timelines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,336結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of a credible Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with recent results showing McGovern winning his September 1 primary with over 99 percent of the vote. Recent activity on housing legislation and endorsements from labor and advocacy groups have reinforced his local profile without shifting the underlying partisan baseline. A late-filed Republican candidate or an unusually large national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain remote given the district's composition and filing timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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