Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have held the attorney general office since 1998. The open seat stems from incumbent Ken Paxton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Recent polling shows Middleton ahead by roughly five points with significant undecided voters, narrower than typical Texas Republican margins, while former GOP state Supreme Court justices endorsed Democratic nominee Nathan Johnson in late August. Johnson's primary win over Joe Jaworski and emphasis on bipartisanship have not offset the structural party advantage reflected in trader consensus. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
梅斯·米德爾頓(共和黨)
82%

Nathan Johnson(民主黨)
18%

梅斯·米德爾頓(共和黨)
82%

Nathan Johnson(民主黨)
18%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have held the attorney general office since 1998. The open seat stems from incumbent Ken Paxton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Recent polling shows Middleton ahead by roughly five points with significant undecided voters, narrower than typical Texas Republican margins, while former GOP state Supreme Court justices endorsed Democratic nominee Nathan Johnson in late August. Johnson's primary win over Joe Jaworski and emphasis on bipartisanship have not offset the structural party advantage reflected in trader consensus. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions