The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, drives the near-certain trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries while preserving the area's strong partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate voting. Greg Casar, the Democratic incumbent after Lloyd Doggett's retirement, secured the nomination with ease and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. An unexpected late development such as a major scandal or health event involving Casar remains the primary theoretical path to altering the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,878 交易量
$42,878 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$42,878 交易量
$42,878 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$26,227 交易量
98%
共和黨
$16,651 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, drives the near-certain trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries while preserving the area's strong partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate voting. Greg Casar, the Democratic incumbent after Lloyd Doggett's retirement, secured the nomination with ease and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. An unexpected late development such as a major scandal or health event involving Casar remains the primary theoretical path to altering the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,878結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, drives the near-certain trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries while preserving the area's strong partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate voting. Greg Casar, the Democratic incumbent after Lloyd Doggett's retirement, secured the nomination with ease and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. An unexpected late development such as a major scandal or health event involving Casar remains the primary theoretical path to altering the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,878結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThe heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, drives the near-certain trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries while preserving the area's strong partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate voting. Greg Casar, the Democratic incumbent after Lloyd Doggett's retirement, secured the nomination with ease and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. An unexpected late development such as a major scandal or health event involving Casar remains the primary theoretical path to altering the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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