Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici advancing easily from the May primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter base in the Portland metro area, and historical margins exceeding 20 points. The Republican nominee, Barbara Kahl, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant turnout changes, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,327 交易量
$27,327 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$27,327 交易量
$27,327 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$10,566 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$16,762 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici advancing easily from the May primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter base in the Portland metro area, and historical margins exceeding 20 points. The Republican nominee, Barbara Kahl, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant turnout changes, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$27,327結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici advancing easily from the May primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter base in the Portland metro area, and historical margins exceeding 20 points. The Republican nominee, Barbara Kahl, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant turnout changes, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,327結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETOregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici advancing easily from the May primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter base in the Portland metro area, and historical margins exceeding 20 points. The Republican nominee, Barbara Kahl, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant turnout changes, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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