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MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Dan Koh 90%

Tram Nguyen 9.5%

約翰·貝西亞 <1%

Seth Moulton <1%

Polymarket

$80,900 交易量

Dan Koh 90%

Tram Nguyen 9.5%

約翰·貝西亞 <1%

Seth Moulton <1%

Polymarket

$80,900 交易量

icon for Dan Koh

Dan Koh

$24,693 交易量

90%

icon for Tram Nguyen

Tram Nguyen

$11,283 交易量

10%

icon for 約翰·貝西亞

約翰·貝西亞

$5,730 交易量

1%

icon for Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

$4,209 交易量

<1%

icon for 凱文·拉里維

凱文·拉里維

$2,850 交易量

<1%

icon for 多米尼克·潘加洛

多米尼克·潘加洛

$7,791 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

$3,037 交易量

<1%

icon for Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$3,970 交易量

<1%

icon for Beth Andres-Beck

Beth Andres-Beck

$3,467 交易量

<1%

icon for Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious

$4,380 交易量

<1%

icon for Rachel Creemers

Rachel Creemers

$3,425 交易量

<1%

icon for Diann Slavit Baylis

Diann Slavit Baylis

$6,065 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh’s strong polling lead and fundraising edge have solidified trader consensus around his nomination in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District. Recent internal surveys released by his campaign show him ahead by double digits, reflecting advantages in name recognition from prior congressional bids and prior federal roles including service in the Biden administration. Tram Nguyen, a sitting state representative, maintains the clearest path among remaining challengers through her current legislative record and local organizing, though her support has not kept pace in late-cycle surveys. Multiple candidate forums and debate calls have highlighted contrasts on affordability measures, federal experience versus state-level work, and opposition strategies, yet the compressed timeline before ballots are cast has limited opportunities for other entrants to close the gap. Market pricing aligns with these dynamics while leaving modest room for last-minute shifts typical in open-seat primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$80,900
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh’s strong polling lead and fundraising edge have solidified trader consensus around his nomination in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts’ 6th Congressional District. Recent internal surveys released by his campaign show him ahead by double digits, reflecting advantages in name recognition from prior congressional bids and prior federal roles including service in the Biden administration. Tram Nguyen, a sitting state representative, maintains the clearest path among remaining challengers through her current legislative record and local organizing, though her support has not kept pace in late-cycle surveys. Multiple candidate forums and debate calls have highlighted contrasts on affordability measures, federal experience versus state-level work, and opposition strategies, yet the compressed timeline before ballots are cast has limited opportunities for other entrants to close the gap. Market pricing aligns with these dynamics while leaving modest room for last-minute shifts typical in open-seat primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$80,900
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 90%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $80.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Dan Koh" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.