Aisha Wahab secured the CA-14 special election after winning the August 18 runoff with a final margin of roughly 53% to 47% over Melissa Hernandez, building on her 26-point lead in the June primary where she captured 43% against a crowded Democratic field. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, favored her progressive state senate record on housing and local issues, allowing her to withstand millions in outside spending from groups including AIPAC-affiliated super PACs that boosted Hernandez. Minor candidates, including Republicans Wendy Huang and independents, received under 10% combined in the primary and were eliminated. Final certification or limited ballot curing represent the only realistic remaining variables, though the established lead makes any reversal improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Aisha Wahab 99.6%
Melissa Hernandez <1%
Wendy Huang <1%
Carin Elam <1%
$131,397 交易量
$131,397 交易量
Aisha Wahab
100%
Melissa Hernandez
1%
Wendy Huang
<1%
Carin Elam
<1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
Aisha Wahab 99.6%
Melissa Hernandez <1%
Wendy Huang <1%
Carin Elam <1%
$131,397 交易量
$131,397 交易量
Aisha Wahab
100%
Melissa Hernandez
1%
Wendy Huang
<1%
Carin Elam
<1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab secured the CA-14 special election after winning the August 18 runoff with a final margin of roughly 53% to 47% over Melissa Hernandez, building on her 26-point lead in the June primary where she captured 43% against a crowded Democratic field. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, favored her progressive state senate record on housing and local issues, allowing her to withstand millions in outside spending from groups including AIPAC-affiliated super PACs that boosted Hernandez. Minor candidates, including Republicans Wendy Huang and independents, received under 10% combined in the primary and were eliminated. Final certification or limited ballot curing represent the only realistic remaining variables, though the established lead makes any reversal improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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