Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold following redistricting and the August 18 primary, where Oliver Gilbert secured the nomination after winning a crowded field that included Shevrin Jones and Kendrick Meek Jr. The seat’s partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee facing Republican Mayonna Te Brown in November. Establishment endorsements for Gilbert, including from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout anomalies, or national political shocks represent the primary variables that could still influence the general election outcome in this heavily Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,182 交易量
$33,182 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
1%
$33,182 交易量
$33,182 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$17,503 交易量
96%
共和黨
$15,679 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold following redistricting and the August 18 primary, where Oliver Gilbert secured the nomination after winning a crowded field that included Shevrin Jones and Kendrick Meek Jr. The seat’s partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee facing Republican Mayonna Te Brown in November. Establishment endorsements for Gilbert, including from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout anomalies, or national political shocks represent the primary variables that could still influence the general election outcome in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$33,182結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold following redistricting and the August 18 primary, where Oliver Gilbert secured the nomination after winning a crowded field that included Shevrin Jones and Kendrick Meek Jr. The seat’s partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee facing Republican Mayonna Te Brown in November. Establishment endorsements for Gilbert, including from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout anomalies, or national political shocks represent the primary variables that could still influence the general election outcome in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,182結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETFlorida’s 24th congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold following redistricting and the August 18 primary, where Oliver Gilbert secured the nomination after winning a crowded field that included Shevrin Jones and Kendrick Meek Jr. The seat’s partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee facing Republican Mayonna Te Brown in November. Establishment endorsements for Gilbert, including from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout anomalies, or national political shocks represent the primary variables that could still influence the general election outcome in this heavily Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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