**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in Florida’s redrawn 25th congressional district following the August 18 primaries, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 68% implied probability versus 32% for Republicans.** Moskowitz, who previously represented the overlapping 23rd district, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton mayor Scott Singer prevailed in a crowded five-candidate field to become the nominee. The new map, shaped by Republican-led redistricting, incorporates portions of prior Democratic-leaning districts while shifting the overall partisan baseline closer to even, producing toss-up or competitive ratings from most nonpartisan analysts. Moskowitz’s incumbency, name recognition in the coastal South Florida areas, and fundraising position him as the frontrunner ahead of the November 3 general election, though the adjusted district lines and Florida’s broader political environment keep the race within reach for Republicans.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,710 交易量
$26,710 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
68%
共和黨
32%
$26,710 交易量
$26,710 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$9,102 交易量
68%
共和黨
$17,608 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in Florida’s redrawn 25th congressional district following the August 18 primaries, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 68% implied probability versus 32% for Republicans.**
Moskowitz, who previously represented the overlapping 23rd district, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton mayor Scott Singer prevailed in a crowded five-candidate field to become the nominee. The new map, shaped by Republican-led redistricting, incorporates portions of prior Democratic-leaning districts while shifting the overall partisan baseline closer to even, producing toss-up or competitive ratings from most nonpartisan analysts. Moskowitz’s incumbency, name recognition in the coastal South Florida areas, and fundraising position him as the frontrunner ahead of the November 3 general election, though the adjusted district lines and Florida’s broader political environment keep the race within reach for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,710結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in Florida’s redrawn 25th congressional district following the August 18 primaries, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 68% implied probability versus 32% for Republicans.**
Moskowitz, who previously represented the overlapping 23rd district, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton mayor Scott Singer prevailed in a crowded five-candidate field to become the nominee. The new map, shaped by Republican-led redistricting, incorporates portions of prior Democratic-leaning districts while shifting the overall partisan baseline closer to even, producing toss-up or competitive ratings from most nonpartisan analysts. Moskowitz’s incumbency, name recognition in the coastal South Florida areas, and fundraising position him as the frontrunner ahead of the November 3 general election, though the adjusted district lines and Florida’s broader political environment keep the race within reach for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,710結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in Florida’s redrawn 25th congressional district following the August 18 primaries, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 68% implied probability versus 32% for Republicans.** Moskowitz, who previously represented the overlapping 23rd district, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton mayor Scott Singer prevailed in a crowded five-candidate field to become the nominee. The new map, shaped by Republican-led redistricting, incorporates portions of prior Democratic-leaning districts while shifting the overall partisan baseline closer to even, producing toss-up or competitive ratings from most nonpartisan analysts. Moskowitz’s incumbency, name recognition in the coastal South Florida areas, and fundraising position him as the frontrunner ahead of the November 3 general election, though the adjusted district lines and Florida’s broader political environment keep the race within reach for Republicans.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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