Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 2000, McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom advanced from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a district encompassing Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safe incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include a significant national partisan wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,286 交易量
$24,286 交易量
2026-11-02
貝蒂·麥克庫倫（民主黨）
95%
保羅·威克斯特羅姆（共和黨）
4%
$24,286 交易量
$24,286 交易量
2026-11-02
貝蒂·麥克庫倫（民主黨）
$4,052 交易量
95%
保羅·威克斯特羅姆（共和黨）
$20,235 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 2000, McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom advanced from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a district encompassing Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safe incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include a significant national partisan wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,286結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 2000, McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom advanced from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a district encompassing Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safe incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include a significant national partisan wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,286結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETBetty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 2000, McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom advanced from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a district encompassing Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safe incumbents in similar districts. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include a significant national partisan wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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