Democratic incumbent Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with more than 75 percent of the vote against fragmented Republican opposition, positioning him for the November 3 general election matchup against Peter Soule. California's 16th congressional district carries a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and has received solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with its partisan baseline and recent electoral history. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or district-specific disruptions. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or broad national realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome, though comparable safe seats have shown limited precedent for such reversals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$106,983 交易量
$106,983 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$106,983 交易量
$106,983 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$52,842 交易量
98%
共和黨
$54,142 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with more than 75 percent of the vote against fragmented Republican opposition, positioning him for the November 3 general election matchup against Peter Soule. California's 16th congressional district carries a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and has received solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with its partisan baseline and recent electoral history. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or district-specific disruptions. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or broad national realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome, though comparable safe seats have shown limited precedent for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$106,983結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with more than 75 percent of the vote against fragmented Republican opposition, positioning him for the November 3 general election matchup against Peter Soule. California's 16th congressional district carries a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and has received solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with its partisan baseline and recent electoral history. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or district-specific disruptions. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or broad national realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome, though comparable safe seats have shown limited precedent for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$106,983結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETDemocratic incumbent Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with more than 75 percent of the vote against fragmented Republican opposition, positioning him for the November 3 general election matchup against Peter Soule. California's 16th congressional district carries a substantial Democratic voter registration edge and has received solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, consistent with its partisan baseline and recent electoral history. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or district-specific disruptions. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or broad national realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome, though comparable safe seats have shown limited precedent for such reversals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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