California's top-two primary system advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, to the November 2026 general election in the 34th district after they finished well ahead of the leading Republican. This structural outcome, combined with the district's longstanding strong Democratic registration advantage and voting history, drives trader consensus reflected in the 97.6% price for the Democratic Party. The seat has remained in Democratic hands through multiple cycles with wide margins, and no Republican advanced to contest the general. Late developments such as a candidate withdrawal or unforeseen legal barrier would be required to alter the party result, though such shifts remain improbable based on current ballot access and candidate status.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,310 交易量
$46,310 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
1%
$46,310 交易量
$46,310 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$17,954 交易量
98%
共和黨
$28,356 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's top-two primary system advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, to the November 2026 general election in the 34th district after they finished well ahead of the leading Republican. This structural outcome, combined with the district's longstanding strong Democratic registration advantage and voting history, drives trader consensus reflected in the 97.6% price for the Democratic Party. The seat has remained in Democratic hands through multiple cycles with wide margins, and no Republican advanced to contest the general. Late developments such as a candidate withdrawal or unforeseen legal barrier would be required to alter the party result, though such shifts remain improbable based on current ballot access and candidate status.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$46,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's top-two primary system advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, to the November 2026 general election in the 34th district after they finished well ahead of the leading Republican. This structural outcome, combined with the district's longstanding strong Democratic registration advantage and voting history, drives trader consensus reflected in the 97.6% price for the Democratic Party. The seat has remained in Democratic hands through multiple cycles with wide margins, and no Republican advanced to contest the general. Late developments such as a candidate withdrawal or unforeseen legal barrier would be required to alter the party result, though such shifts remain improbable based on current ballot access and candidate status.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's top-two primary system advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres, both Democrats, to the November 2026 general election in the 34th district after they finished well ahead of the leading Republican. This structural outcome, combined with the district's longstanding strong Democratic registration advantage and voting history, drives trader consensus reflected in the 97.6% price for the Democratic Party. The seat has remained in Democratic hands through multiple cycles with wide margins, and no Republican advanced to contest the general. Late developments such as a candidate withdrawal or unforeseen legal barrier would be required to alter the party result, though such shifts remain improbable based on current ballot access and candidate status.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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