Redistricting finalized by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new UT-01 centered on Democratic-leaning Salt Lake County, producing a D+12 partisan baseline and a district Kamala Harris carried by roughly 24 points in 2024. This structural shift eliminated the prior Republican incumbent advantage and established the primary driver of current trader consensus. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with over half the vote, bringing established name recognition and fundraising into a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican nominee faces a steep climb in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain narrow and would require major candidate-specific developments or unusually strong national tailwinds capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,214 交易量
$41,214 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$41,214 交易量
$41,214 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$5,649 交易量
95%
共和黨
$35,565 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new UT-01 centered on Democratic-leaning Salt Lake County, producing a D+12 partisan baseline and a district Kamala Harris carried by roughly 24 points in 2024. This structural shift eliminated the prior Republican incumbent advantage and established the primary driver of current trader consensus. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with over half the vote, bringing established name recognition and fundraising into a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican nominee faces a steep climb in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain narrow and would require major candidate-specific developments or unusually strong national tailwinds capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$41,214結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new UT-01 centered on Democratic-leaning Salt Lake County, producing a D+12 partisan baseline and a district Kamala Harris carried by roughly 24 points in 2024. This structural shift eliminated the prior Republican incumbent advantage and established the primary driver of current trader consensus. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with over half the vote, bringing established name recognition and fundraising into a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican nominee faces a steep climb in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain narrow and would require major candidate-specific developments or unusually strong national tailwinds capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,214結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting finalized by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new UT-01 centered on Democratic-leaning Salt Lake County, producing a D+12 partisan baseline and a district Kamala Harris carried by roughly 24 points in 2024. This structural shift eliminated the prior Republican incumbent advantage and established the primary driver of current trader consensus. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with over half the vote, bringing established name recognition and fundraising into a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican nominee faces a steep climb in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain narrow and would require major candidate-specific developments or unusually strong national tailwinds capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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