Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in August 2026, advancing as the clear favorite in a race rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The district's partisan voter index favors Democrats by more than 20 points, consistent with Tlaib's 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points against the same Republican opponent, James Hooper, who advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the seat's structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希達·特萊布（民主黨）
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和黨）
1%
$39,234 交易量
$39,234 交易量
2026-11-02
拉希達·特萊布（民主黨）
$21,751 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·胡珀（共和黨）
$17,483 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in August 2026, advancing as the clear favorite in a race rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The district's partisan voter index favors Democrats by more than 20 points, consistent with Tlaib's 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points against the same Republican opponent, James Hooper, who advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the seat's structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$39,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in August 2026, advancing as the clear favorite in a race rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The district's partisan voter index favors Democrats by more than 20 points, consistent with Tlaib's 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points against the same Republican opponent, James Hooper, who advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the seat's structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,234結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in August 2026, advancing as the clear favorite in a race rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The district's partisan voter index favors Democrats by more than 20 points, consistent with Tlaib's 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points against the same Republican opponent, James Hooper, who advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the seat's structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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