Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed nominee and Troy mayor, in the November general election. The open seat, previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens, sits in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Moss’s advantages include substantial campaign fundraising, prior legislative experience, and the district’s partisan composition that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Moss aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$79,162 交易量
$79,162 交易量
2026-11-02
傑瑞米·莫斯（民主黨）
96%
Ethan Baker（共和黨）
3%
$79,162 交易量
$79,162 交易量
2026-11-02
傑瑞米·莫斯（民主黨）
$56,609 交易量
96%
Ethan Baker（共和黨）
$22,552 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed nominee and Troy mayor, in the November general election. The open seat, previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens, sits in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Moss’s advantages include substantial campaign fundraising, prior legislative experience, and the district’s partisan composition that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Moss aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$79,162結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed nominee and Troy mayor, in the November general election. The open seat, previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens, sits in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Moss’s advantages include substantial campaign fundraising, prior legislative experience, and the district’s partisan composition that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Moss aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$79,162結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed nominee and Troy mayor, in the November general election. The open seat, previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens, sits in a district with a consistent Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Moss’s advantages include substantial campaign fundraising, prior legislative experience, and the district’s partisan composition that favors Democratic candidates in general elections. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Moss aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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